Wednesday, June 29, 2005

Slouching towards 20,000

Quick! What is the significance of the number 20,000?

A) Average season attendance for Phillies games if the losing streak continues.

B) Number of small puppies Philadelphia Forward has threatened to drown in Love Park if City Council doesn't repeal the Business Privilege Tax.

C) About half the votes needed to win an at-large City Council seat or double the amount needed to district seat.

D) The number of unique readers Young Philly Politics will have by the end of the week!


At 12:34 PM, Blogger Rep. Mark B. Cohen said...

The figure of 40,000 votes need to win an at-large seat is based on the 2003 elections, when there was no contested mayoral primary.

In 2007, there is likely to be a wide open field for Mayor, and total media expenditures in the vicinity of $10 million to $20 million are quite likely.

Under these circumstances, turnout should greatly increase, and the likelihood is that it will take somewhere between 65,000 and 80,000 votes to come in 5th place.

The votes needed to get in the higher places will likely be much higher.

The all-time record for the most votes for Councilman at Large in a Democratic Primary was set by Councilman David Cohen during the contested Rendell-Goode primary in 1987: 154,000 votes.

At 1:44 PM, Blogger Ben Waxman said...

Thanks for the analysis Mark. That is not something I had thought about. Makes perfect sense though.

At 1:45 PM, Blogger Ben Waxman said...

Oops, Rep. Cohen. Not Mark.

At 3:42 PM, Blogger Rep. Mark B. Cohen said...

Mark is fine with me.

At 6:46 PM, Blogger Charles said...

Where can we find the stat counter?

At 11:23 AM, Blogger Pat Clark said...

Back in March Waxman told me that he wished that Philly was as organized as we were here in PGH. Congrats, judging from the level of use, you're now kicking our ass. In that department, we'll not address sports. Fortunately, this is an area where we don't compete, but hopefully can partner on the same team. Big props to yinz...


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